Reference · stays inside this course
Appendix F — Future-scenario watchboard
Academy reading copy. This lesson is not offered as a file download.
Appendix F — Future-scenario watchboard Rule Record public, lawful, necessary evidence. Do not build dossiers on people because of identity or peaceful political belief. Separate observations from assessments and delete data that no longer serves a legitimate purpose.
DOMAIN INDICATOR SOURCE / CONFIDENCE BASELINE THRESHOLD ACTION / OWNER NEXT REVIEW Rhetoric Incidents Institutions Law / policy Networks / capability Protection / allies Jewish life / wellbeing Scenario posture review SCENARIO CURRENT EVIDENCE FOR EVIDENCE AGAINST / PROTECTIVE CONFIDENCE DECISION Brittle normalization Institutional exclusion Coordinated intimidation Acute crisis Resilient reversal Leadership brief — one page FIELD ENTRY As of date/time/timezone Verified observations Assessment and confidence Key uncertainty / alternative explanation Current response level Authorized actions / owners Communication / privacy limits What would raise or lower concern Next review Source trail: Early Warning Project
USHMM warning signs
UN Framework of Analysis